Wednesday, May 20, 2009

Market Mayhem - Index explodes

S&P CNX Nifty closed 17% up after the congress came to power again at the centre. It was largely an unexpected result. Especially for me as it defied the trend in other countries which voted out the incumbent governments due to terrorism and financial meltdown. However the verdict created euphoria seen never before and has thrown open the door for our markets to remain the best performing market for the next few years.

The elliott wave count now looks a bit easy to interpret as the rule violation of 3 being the shortest is over. We clearly saw an extension in the third wave and now are in wave 5 of the higher degree wave 1. This means we are about to end the first impulse of the next big bull run. I have been writing this again and again that this is the last leg of uptrend. But it has stretched beyond expectation and it would be wise to wait for it to turn. Meanwhile CNX IT index has formed a definitive reversal signal and looks set to lead on the way down.

The latest elliott wave count on S&P CNX Nifty looks like this -

Your comments and analysis is welcome.

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